Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒19:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 31%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.57/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.55
-57% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 2-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
24.06.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
20.04.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 2-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
30.01.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen HAZ
14.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
30.06.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3-1
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius beat Hegelmann Litauen 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 50% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 50%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 2.00 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 43%, draw 26%, Hegelmann Litauen 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ BTTS Yes
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