Zalgiris Vilnius 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Jun 2025

📅24/06/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 37%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.49
-16% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
279 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 2-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
30.01.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen HAZ
14.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
30.06.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
12.05.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
17.03.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-3 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
0-1
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen edged past Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Hegelmann Litauen made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 62% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 38%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 2.00 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Zalgiris Vilnius 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 40%, draw 25%, Hegelmann Litauen 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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