FK Dainava Alytus 2-1 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Jun 2025

📅24/06/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.15/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.74
-23% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +98%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
05.10.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-3 HT 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
21.07.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 3-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
26.05.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-3 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
06.04.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
16.09.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus edged past Banga Gargzdai 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; FK Dainava Alytus found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Dainava Alytus had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.00 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai?

FK Dainava Alytus 2-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 33%, draw 27%, Banga Gargzdai 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✗ Under 2.5
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