Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Jun 2025

📅24/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.2pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 16%
-31% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.05/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.80
-42% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
385 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-2 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
05.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
20.07.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-2 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
25.05.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
07.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
25.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3-0
AWAY FK Panevezys
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris swept aside FK Panevezys 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 58% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 42%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.50 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?

Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 59%, draw 22%, FK Panevezys 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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