Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.33/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -58%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
278 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.06.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
20.04.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 2-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
30.01.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen HAZ
14.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
30.06.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
12.05.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
2-2
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen and Zalgiris Vilnius shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann Litauen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 44% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 56%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.83 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 41%, draw 26%, Zalgiris Vilnius 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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