FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris Prediction — Model Probabilities
FK Panevezys v Kauno Zalgiris — Team-Based Signals
FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FK Panevezys 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris — Actual Match Statistics
FK Panevezys came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Kauno Zalgiris 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kauno Zalgiris at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.74, about 57%.
On the day, Kauno Zalgiris saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 13-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for FK Panevezys against 1.17 for Kauno Zalgiris.
FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris Result & Final Score
FK Panevezys 1 - 0 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - A Lyga on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 17%, draw 24%, Kauno Zalgiris 59%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) went the other way.