FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Panevezys v Kauno Zalgiris — Team-Based Signals
FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Kauno Zalgiris
LIT1
FK Panevezys 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris — Actual Match Statistics
FK Panevezys nicked a narrow win over Kauno Zalgiris 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, FK Panevezys had 36% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 64%, shots finished 13-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FK Panevezys and 1.17 for Kauno Zalgiris.
What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris?
FK Panevezys 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 26%, draw 22%, Kauno Zalgiris 52%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.