FK Dainava Alytus 0-5 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.4pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.32/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.07
-10% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.06.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
20.04.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
05.10.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-3 HT 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
21.07.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 3-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
26.05.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-3 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
06.04.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai cruised past FK Dainava Alytus 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Banga Gargzdai made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Dainava Alytus had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.00 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-5 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Dainava Alytus win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 37%, draw 27%, Banga Gargzdai 37%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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