Kauno Zalgiris 3-2 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.40/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.37
+4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
24.06.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
19.04.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-2 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
05.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
20.07.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-2 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
25.05.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris squeezed past FK Panevezys 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.33 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?

Kauno Zalgiris 3-2 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 47%, draw 26%, FK Panevezys 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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