Zalgiris Vilnius 1-3 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
63%
+5.1pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.2pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.83/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.06
-4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
02.11.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
24.08.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 2-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
24.06.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
20.04.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 2-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
30.01.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
1-3
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen beat Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Zalgiris Vilnius carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 68% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 32%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.50 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Zalgiris Vilnius 1-3 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 68%, draw 18%, Hegelmann Litauen 14%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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