FK Panevezys 1-0 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.12/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.73
-13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +89%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
18.10.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-2 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
20.08.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
23.05.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
30.03.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
15.09.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-3 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys squeezed past Banga Gargzdai 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Banga Gargzdai at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Panevezys and 1.00 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?

FK Panevezys 1-0 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 33%, draw 26%, Banga Gargzdai 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Banga Gargzdai), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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