MTK Budapest 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 27 Jul 2026

📅27/07/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.68/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.41
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.2 Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.66 xG 1.07
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
501 Passes 321
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2026 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
20.12.2025 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
21.09.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
08.03.2025 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
02.11.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
26.07.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-1 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
3-0
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.33 xG 0.66
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
459 Passes 516
20 Box Touches 18
7 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest cruised past Zalaegerszegi TE 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MTK Budapest as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.33 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MTK Budapest and 0.50 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

MTK Budapest 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 27/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 46%, draw 24%, Zalaegerszegi TE 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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