Al Gharafa 1-3 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 27 Aug 2026

📅27/08/2026 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.21
Over
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.48
No
38%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.4
2-3
43%
1.88
4-5
29%
2.79
6+
10%
7.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Al Gharafa The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal The Market 42%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.48 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.41
1.57 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.44
Average Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Shamal
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.58 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 Passes 284
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2026 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
27.10.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
20.09.2025 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
08.02.2025 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
13.09.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
28.04.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
1 - 3
AWAY Al Shamal
0.73 xG 1.37
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
341 Passes 301
23 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Al Gharafa vs Al Shamal
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Shamal put daylight between themselves and Al Gharafa 3-1 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

From a near-even 35% / 26% / 39% read, it was Al Shamal who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

The match data tells the story: shots finished 15-16, expected goals 0.73 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shamal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Gharafa and 0.83 for Al Shamal.

Al Gharafa vs Al Shamal Result & Final Score

Al Gharafa 1 - 3 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 27/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Al Gharafa vs Al Shamal Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 35%, draw 26%, Al Shamal 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shamal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shamal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAT More Qatar League
27 Aug 2026
19:30 Al Wakrah vs Al Rayyan Analysis →