BW Lohne 3-1 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.72/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.19
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BW Lohne
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 4-3 HT 1-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 0-3 HT 0-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
19.03.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 2-0 HT 1-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
17.09.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-2 HT 0-1 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH BW Lohne vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BW Lohne beat Weiche Flensburg 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Weiche Flensburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for BW Lohne and 2.00 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of BW Lohne vs Weiche Flensburg?

BW Lohne 3-1 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BW Lohne vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weiche Flensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BW Lohne 34%, draw 23%, Weiche Flensburg 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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