Heidenheim 2-1 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 27 Sep 2025

Heidenheim
2 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Augsburg
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Heidenheim vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over
53%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.68
2-3
46%
1.8
4-5
24%
3.11
6+
6%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.09
1/2
3%
25.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
11%
6.3
X/2
14%
5.52
X/X
17%
4.88
2/1
3%
28.0
2/2
23%
3.33
2/X
5%
12.3
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Heidenheim v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Heidenheim The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg The Market 43%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.12 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
1.40 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2

Heidenheim vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Augsburg
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.55 xG 1.23
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 394
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.01.2025 Augsburg Augsburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
01.09.2024 Heidenheim Heidenheim 4-0 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
09.03.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
22.10.2023 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-5 HT 2-3 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
16.12.2022 Augsburg Augsburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim HAZ

Heidenheim 2-1 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
2 - 1
AWAY Augsburg
1.24 xG 0.79
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
274 Passes 330
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Heidenheim vs Augsburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Heidenheim edged past Augsburg 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Heidenheim found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (58%) came home.

Under the surface, Heidenheim had 48% of the ball to Augsburg's 52%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.24 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Augsburg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Heidenheim and 2.00 for Augsburg.

Heidenheim vs Augsburg Result & Final Score

Heidenheim 2 - 1 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Heidenheim vs Augsburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 32%, draw 28%, Augsburg 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Augsburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Augsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL1 More Germany - Bundesliga
27 Sep 2025
16:30 Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig Analysis →
16:30 Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Analysis →
16:30 St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Analysis →
19:30 Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt Analysis →