Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mainz 05 v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mainz 05 0-2 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund beat Mainz 05 2-0 on the road.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Mainz 05 had 49% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 51%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.48 to 1.44.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mainz 05 and 1.50 for Borussia Dortmund.
Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Result & Final Score
Mainz 05 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 27%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.