Telavi 4-0 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 27 Sep 2025

Telavi
4-0 HT 2-0
Gagra
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telavi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.58/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.09
-57% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telavi
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Gagra
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Gagra Gagra 3-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
14.04.2025 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
22.11.2024 Gagra Gagra 2-0 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
14.09.2024 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
19.05.2024 Gagra Gagra 2-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
03.04.2024 Telavi Telavi 1-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telavi
4-0
AWAY Gagra
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Telavi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telavi ran out comfortable winners over Gagra 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Telavi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Telavi had 52% of the ball to Gagra's 48%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gagra led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Telavi and 1.50 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Telavi vs Gagra?

Telavi 4-0 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telavi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Telavi 31%, draw 31%, Gagra 38%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gagra) ✗ Under 2.5
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