Imabari 1-1 Sagan Tosu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 33%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.20/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.26
-9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.7 Crosses 19.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imabari
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sagan Tosu
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
277 Passes 298
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Crosses 21
01.03.2025 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 1-4 HT 0-3 Imabari Imabari JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
1-1
AWAY Sagan Tosu
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
229 Passes 404
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Imabari vs Sagan Tosu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imabari and Sagan Tosu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Imabari had 39% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 61%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Imabari vs Sagan Tosu?

Imabari 1-1 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J2 League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs Sagan Tosu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Imabari 40%, draw 28%, Sagan Tosu 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Imabari) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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