Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montedio Yamagata v Renofa Yamaguchi — Team-Based Signals
Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Montedio Yamagata
JAP2
1-1
HT 1-1
Renofa Yamaguchi
JAP2
0-1
HT 0-0
Montedio Yamagata
JAP2
Montedio Yamagata 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Actual Match Statistics
Montedio Yamagata squeezed past Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montedio Yamagata as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 62% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 38%, shots finished 18-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renofa Yamaguchi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 0.83 for Renofa Yamaguchi.
What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Montedio Yamagata 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 42%, draw 25%, Renofa Yamaguchi 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.