Iwaki 2-3 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 25%
-16% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.61/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.06
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +40%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
412 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.4 Crosses 16.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
346 Passes 194
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
16.06.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 1-1 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
20.03.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 1-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
13.08.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-1 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
03.05.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
2-3
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
50% Ball Possession 50%
24 Total Shots 12
14 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
231 Passes 215
65% Pass Accuracy 61%
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu squeezed past Iwaki 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Iwaki at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Iwaki had 50% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 50%, shots finished 24-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Iwaki and 1.00 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?

Iwaki 2-3 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 46%, draw 26%, Ventforet Kofu 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Iwaki), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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