JEF United 2-2 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -21%
1.49/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.41
-5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
311 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 19.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 Passes 543
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.06.2025 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JPK
29.04.2025 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
14.07.2024 JEF United JEF United 0-2 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
30.03.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
03.09.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
21.04.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
2-2
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 8
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United and Roasso Kumamoto couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, JEF United had 48% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 52%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for JEF United and 1.00 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

JEF United 2-2 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split JEF United 49%, draw 24%, Roasso Kumamoto 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JEF United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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