Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.8
Over
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
44%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC The Market 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.94/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.52
-40% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Hibernians FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-2 HT 0-2 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTAK
19.01.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MALTP
21.12.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
02.10.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-2 HT 0-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
20.01.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
08.01.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
2-0
AWAY Hibernians FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans saw off Hibernians FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 50% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 50%, shots finished 11-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 1.00 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians FC?

Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Hibernians FC in the Malta - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 48%, draw 29%, Hibernians FC 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5
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