Domzale 1-0 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.18/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
1W-2D-2L
AWAY ND Primorje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 3-2 HT 0-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
26.04.2025 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 1-1 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
01.03.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 0-1 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
02.11.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-0 HT 0-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
16.08.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 2-1 HT 1-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
1-0
AWAY ND Primorje
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Domzale vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domzale squeezed past ND Primorje 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Domzale made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Domzale had 44% of the ball to ND Primorje's 56%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, ND Primorje led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Domzale and 1.20 for ND Primorje.

What was the final score of Domzale vs ND Primorje?

Domzale 1-0 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Domzale win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Domzale 40%, draw 22%, ND Primorje 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Domzale) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Domzale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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