Celje 3-0 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.6
No
38%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.93
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
11%
6.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.2pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.27/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.17
+12% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Maribor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2025 Maribor Maribor 1-2 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
07.05.2025 Maribor Maribor 1-1 HT 1-1 Celje Celje SLVN
02.04.2025 Maribor Maribor 0-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVNK
08.02.2025 Celje Celje 1-2 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
06.10.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-2 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
18.09.2024 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
3-0
AWAY Maribor
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celje vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje swept aside Maribor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Celje had 62% of the ball to Maribor's 38%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Celje and 1.00 for Maribor.

What was the final score of Celje vs Maribor?

Celje 3-0 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Celje 50%, draw 25%, Maribor 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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