FeralpiSalo 2-1 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.73
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.44/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.53
-8% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lecco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.11 xG 0.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 5-1 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTB
26.09.2023 Lecco Lecco 1-2 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTB
15.03.2023 Lecco Lecco 0-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
12.11.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
23.01.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
19.09.2021 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
2-1
AWAY Lecco
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo squeezed past Lecco 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 44% of the ball to Lecco's 56%, shots finished 4-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FeralpiSalo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FeralpiSalo and 0.50 for Lecco.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Lecco?

FeralpiSalo 2-1 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 45%, draw 29%, Lecco 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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