San Antonio 1-4 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.79
6+ Goals
7%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 35% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +15%
1.37/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.89
-6% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +73%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
20.2 Crosses 17.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Detroit City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.73 xG 0.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
203 Passes 226
58% Pass Accuracy 61%
26 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
13.03.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 1-0 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
1-4
AWAY Detroit City
0.80 xG 1.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
204 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City ran out comfortable winners over San Antonio 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was San Antonio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Antonio had 44% of the ball to Detroit City's 56%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.80 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for San Antonio and 0.50 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Detroit City?

San Antonio 1-4 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 41%, draw 26%, Detroit City 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Antonio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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