Guastatoya 1-2 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.4pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -26%
1.22/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.21
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 5-0 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
14.04.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-2 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
09.02.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
16.09.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
17.03.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
08.10.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC squeezed past Guastatoya 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Guastatoya at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guastatoya and 2.00 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC?

Guastatoya 1-2 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 41%, draw 30%, Xelaju MC 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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27 Oct 2025
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