Arbroath 1-1 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Dec 2025

Arbroath
1-1 HT 0-0
Airdrieonians
📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Arbroath vs Airdrieonians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 33% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.5
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.41
X/2
12%
8.49
X/X
9%
4.63
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
14%
6.85
2/X
6%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arbroath v Airdrieonians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.93/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.34
+21% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 3.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Arbroath vs Airdrieonians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Airdrieonians
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
25.10.2025 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
30.08.2025 Arbroath Arbroath 1-0 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
16.03.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 5-2 HT 2-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
11.11.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
16.09.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 4-0 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
24.03.2012 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath and Airdrieonians couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arbroath at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Airdrieonians led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arbroath and 1.67 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Airdrieonians?

Arbroath 1-1 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 47%, draw 22%, Airdrieonians 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arbroath), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arbroath) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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