Greenock Morton 1-1 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.55
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
10%
6.06
X/2
13%
5.14
X/X
14%
4.16
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.53
2/X
4%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -7%
1.81/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.33
+6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 68%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
9.5 Crosses 9.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ayr United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
66% Ball Possession 34%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 2-1 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
23.08.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-2 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
08.03.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
28.12.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
08.11.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
28.09.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton and Ayr United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.17 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

Greenock Morton 1-1 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 37%, draw 26%, Ayr United 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ayr United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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