Raith Rovers 1-2 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
23.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.05
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
13%
4.68
X/2
8%
6.99
X/X
6%
4.06
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
19%
5.63
2/X
8%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.8pp
21%
Draw
29%
-7.7pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
0.87/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.87
+21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 67%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.4 Crosses 5.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
17.10.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
22.08.2025 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
14.03.2025 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
01.02.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
14.12.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
13.09.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic edged past Raith Rovers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Raith Rovers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.17 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Raith Rovers 1-2 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 46%, draw 21%, Dunfermline Athletic 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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