Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
İNP
0-3
HT 0-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
İNP
Arsenal 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal squeezed past Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Arsenal had 53% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 47%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 3.08 to 0.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arsenal's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arsenal and 0.83 for Brighton & Hove Albion.
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Arsenal 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 73%, draw 16%, Brighton & Hove Albion 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.