Barletta 0-1 Nardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
33%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
66%
-22.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
33%
Away Win
14%
+18.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barletta The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nardo The Market 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barletta
0-1
AWAY Nardo
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Barletta vs Nardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nardo squeezed past Barletta 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Barletta at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Barletta had 49% of the ball to Nardo's 51%, shots finished 4-6.

What was the final score of Barletta vs Nardo?

Barletta 0-1 Nardo in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barletta vs Nardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barletta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Barletta 44%, draw 23%, Nardo 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barletta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barletta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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