28/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Gravina vs Fidelis Andria Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
37%
4-5
21%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
39%
Home Win
41%
25%
Draw
26%
36%
Away Win
33%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gravina v Fidelis Andria — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gravina
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fidelis Andria
The Market 37%
+30% /
+30%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+8%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
476 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
280 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Gravina vs Fidelis Andria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gravina and Fidelis Andria shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Gravina vs Fidelis Andria?
Gravina 1-1 Fidelis Andria in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gravina vs Fidelis Andria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gravina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gravina 39%, draw 25%, Fidelis Andria 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gravina), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Gravina)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İTD
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28 Jan 2024