US Citta di Fasano 1-0 US Bitonto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
30%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
45%
4-5
13%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
68%
-25.4pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.4pp
30%
Away Win
12%
+18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Citta di Fasano The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY US Bitonto The Market 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Citta di Fasano
1W-0D-0L
AWAY US Bitonto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.10.2023 US Bitonto 0-1 HT 0-0 US Citta di Fasano İTD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Citta di Fasano
1-0
AWAY US Bitonto
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH US Citta di Fasano vs US Bitonto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Citta di Fasano nicked a narrow win over US Bitonto 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had US Citta di Fasano as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, US Citta di Fasano had 44% of the ball to US Bitonto's 56%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of US Citta di Fasano vs US Bitonto?

US Citta di Fasano 1-0 US Bitonto in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Citta di Fasano vs US Bitonto?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Citta di Fasano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split US Citta di Fasano 43%, draw 27%, US Bitonto 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Citta di Fasano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (US Citta di Fasano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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