Castellanzese 1-2 Folgore Caratese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
37%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
21%
+14.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
37%
Away Win
55%
-18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Castellanzese The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Folgore Caratese The Market 60%
+64% / +64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
265 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Castellanzese
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Folgore Caratese
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.10.2023 Folgore Caratese 2-2 HT 1-0 Castellanzese İTD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Castellanzese
1-2
AWAY Folgore Caratese
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Folgore Caratese nicked a narrow win over Castellanzese 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Folgore Caratese made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Castellanzese had 48% of the ball to Folgore Caratese's 52%, shots finished 13-19.

What was the final score of Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese?

Castellanzese 1-2 Folgore Caratese in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Folgore Caratese win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Castellanzese 36%, draw 28%, Folgore Caratese 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Folgore Caratese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Folgore Caratese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTD More Italy - Serie D
28 Jan 2024
16:00 San Marzano vs Latte Dolce Analysis →
16:30 San Luca vs Acireale Analysis →
16:30 Gravina vs Fidelis Andria Analysis →
16:30 Sansepolcro vs Livorno Analysis →
16:30 Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gladiator Analysis →
16:30 Angri Calcio vs Manfredonia Analysis →