Pontisola 0-4 Arconatese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
20%
+21.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
56%
-24.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontisola The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Arconatese The Market 60%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
200 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontisola
0-4
AWAY Arconatese
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Pontisola vs Arconatese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arconatese cruised past Pontisola 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Pontisola at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pontisola had 54% of the ball to Arconatese's 46%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Pontisola vs Arconatese?

Pontisola 0-4 Arconatese in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontisola vs Arconatese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontisola win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pontisola 41%, draw 27%, Arconatese 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pontisola), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontisola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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