Mestre 2-0 Chions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.16
Draw
22%
7.78
Away
25%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
83%
-30.4pp
22%
Draw
11%
+11.6pp
25%
Away Win
6%
+18.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mestre The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Chions The Market 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mestre
2-0
AWAY Chions
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Mestre vs Chions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mestre saw off Chions 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mestre as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mestre had 48% of the ball to Chions's 52%, shots finished 7-3.

What was the final score of Mestre vs Chions?

Mestre 2-0 Chions in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mestre vs Chions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mestre win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mestre 52%, draw 22%, Chions 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mestre), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mestre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTD More Italy - Serie D
28 Jan 2024
16:00 San Marzano vs Latte Dolce Analysis →
16:30 San Luca vs Acireale Analysis →
16:30 Gravina vs Fidelis Andria Analysis →
16:30 Sansepolcro vs Livorno Analysis →
16:30 Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gladiator Analysis →
16:30 Angri Calcio vs Manfredonia Analysis →