28/01/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
San Marzano vs Latte Dolce Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
69%
Over
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
No
68%
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
40%
4-5
11%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
35%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 69% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
54%
Home Win
54%
25%
Draw
28%
20%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Marzano v Latte Dolce — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
San Marzano
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Latte Dolce
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
2
4
Corners
4
302 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
308 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
San Marzano vs Latte Dolce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
San Marzano saw off Latte Dolce 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Marzano as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of San Marzano vs Latte Dolce?
San Marzano 2-0 Latte Dolce in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Marzano vs Latte Dolce?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Marzano win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split San Marzano 54%, draw 25%, Latte Dolce 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Marzano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (San Marzano)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
28 Jan 2024