RG Ticino 3-2 Albenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RG Ticino The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Albenga The Market 45%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH RG Ticino vs Albenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RG Ticino edged past Albenga 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Albenga at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of RG Ticino vs Albenga?

RG Ticino 3-2 Albenga in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RG Ticino vs Albenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albenga win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split RG Ticino 28%, draw 31%, Albenga 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Albenga) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTD More Italy - Serie D
28 Jan 2024
16:00 San Marzano vs Latte Dolce Analysis →
16:30 San Luca vs Acireale Analysis →
16:30 Gravina vs Fidelis Andria Analysis →
16:30 Sansepolcro vs Livorno Analysis →
16:30 Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gladiator Analysis →
16:30 Angri Calcio vs Manfredonia Analysis →