28/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
San Luca vs Acireale Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
47%
4-5
13%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
50%
Home Win
58%
31%
Draw
24%
19%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Luca v Acireale — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
San Luca
The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Acireale
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-37% /
-37%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+1%
/
-54%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
3
Corners
4
364 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
255 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
San Luca vs Acireale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
San Luca and Acireale shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was San Luca at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of San Luca vs Acireale?
San Luca 1-1 Acireale in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Luca vs Acireale?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Luca win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split San Luca 50%, draw 31%, Acireale 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Luca), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (San Luca)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İTD
More Italy - Serie D
28 Jan 2024