Trapani 1905 4-1 Akragas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
19%
+14.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
45%
Away Win
59%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trapani 1905 The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Akragas The Market 62%
+74% / +74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+72% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trapani 1905
4-1
AWAY Akragas
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Trapani 1905 vs Akragas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trapani 1905 cruised past Akragas 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Akragas at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trapani 1905 had 52% of the ball to Akragas's 48%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Trapani 1905 vs Akragas?

Trapani 1905 4-1 Akragas in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trapani 1905 vs Akragas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Akragas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Trapani 1905 33%, draw 22%, Akragas 45%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Akragas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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