Sarrabus Ogliastra 1-2 Gladiator — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarrabus Ogliastra The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Gladiator The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -71%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gladiator
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gladiator squeezed past Sarrabus Ogliastra 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sarrabus Ogliastra at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gladiator?

Sarrabus Ogliastra 1-2 Gladiator in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gladiator?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarrabus Ogliastra win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sarrabus Ogliastra 48%, draw 25%, Gladiator 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sarrabus Ogliastra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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