Grosseto 0-2 Tau Altopascio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grosseto The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tau Altopascio The Market 30%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/2.00
-16% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grosseto
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tau Altopascio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.10.2023 Tau Altopascio 1-1 HT 0-1 Grosseto Grosseto İTD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grosseto
0-2
AWAY Tau Altopascio
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Grosseto vs Tau Altopascio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tau Altopascio saw off Grosseto 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Tau Altopascio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Grosseto had 59% of the ball to Tau Altopascio's 41%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Grosseto vs Tau Altopascio?

Grosseto 0-2 Tau Altopascio in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grosseto vs Tau Altopascio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grosseto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grosseto 39%, draw 28%, Tau Altopascio 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Grosseto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grosseto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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