San Donato Tavarnelle 2-0 Cenaia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Donato Tavarnelle The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cenaia The Market 31%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.34/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+14% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Donato Tavarnelle
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cenaia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.10.2023 Cenaia 0-1 HT 0-0 San Donato Tavarnelle San Donato Tavarnelle İTD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Donato Tavarnelle
2-0
AWAY Cenaia
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH San Donato Tavarnelle vs Cenaia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Donato Tavarnelle saw off Cenaia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Donato Tavarnelle as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, San Donato Tavarnelle had 48% of the ball to Cenaia's 52%, shots finished 17-6.

What was the final score of San Donato Tavarnelle vs Cenaia?

San Donato Tavarnelle 2-0 Cenaia in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Donato Tavarnelle vs Cenaia?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Donato Tavarnelle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Donato Tavarnelle 41%, draw 30%, Cenaia 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Donato Tavarnelle), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Donato Tavarnelle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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