Nacional vs Torreense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional v Torreense — Team-Based Signals
Nacional vs Torreense Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Nacional
POR2
3-1
HT 1-1
Torreense
POR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Nacional
POR2
Nacional 2-1 Torreense — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional squeezed past Torreense 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Nacional had 49% of the ball to Torreense's 51%, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 2.41 to 1.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nacional had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nacional and 1.33 for Torreense.
What was the final score of Nacional vs Torreense?
Nacional 2-1 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional vs Torreense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nacional 46%, draw 28%, Torreense 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.