Santa Clara 2-0 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 28 Jan 2024

Santa Clara
2-0 HT 1-0
Leixoes
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Santa Clara vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Clara v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 19%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +17%
0.89/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.41
-23% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.4 Crosses 19.2
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Santa Clara vs Leixoes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Leixoes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.55 xG 0.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
247 Passes 341
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.08.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
23.11.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 2-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara PORLC
22.11.2019 Leixoes Leixoes 1-4 HT 0-2 Santa Clara Santa Clara POK
19.07.2019 Leixoes Leixoes 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara HAZ
29.11.2015 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-0 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
26.04.2015 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2

Santa Clara 2-0 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
2-0
AWAY Leixoes
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara got the better of Leixoes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Santa Clara had 56% of the ball to Leixoes's 44%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santa Clara and 0.67 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Leixoes?

Santa Clara 2-0 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 56%, draw 25%, Leixoes 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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