Dorking Wanderers 3-0 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -23%
2.01/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.19
+9% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aveley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2024 Aveley Aveley 3-1 HT 2-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
3-0
AWAY Aveley
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers cruised past Aveley 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 62% of the ball to Aveley's 38%, shots finished 9-2.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Aveley?

Dorking Wanderers 3-0 Aveley in the England - Conference on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 58%, draw 20%, Aveley 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5
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