Aubagne 1-2 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 37%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.00/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.50
-24% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubagne
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dijon
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2024 Dijon Dijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Aubagne Aubagne FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aubagne
1-2
AWAY Dijon
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon nicked a narrow win over Aubagne 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Dijon made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Aubagne had 50% of the ball to Dijon's 50%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Dijon?

Aubagne 1-2 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 39%, draw 30%, Dijon 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aubagne) ✗ Under 2.5
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