Le Mans FC 2-1 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.58
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
12%
4.29
X/2
10%
7.95
X/X
12%
4.3
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
6.62
2/X
6%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.32/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.51
-15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Quevilly
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Quevilly Quevilly 1-2 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
15.01.2021 Quevilly Quevilly 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
28.08.2020 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
2-1
AWAY Quevilly
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC squeezed past Quevilly 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Le Mans FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 62% of the ball to Quevilly's 38%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Le Mans FC and 1.67 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Quevilly?

Le Mans FC 2-1 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 42%, draw 26%, Quevilly 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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