Nimes 1-0 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
41%
2.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.99
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.19 — our 41% vs market 37.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.23
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
18%
4.7
X/2
6%
6.63
X/X
19%
3.63
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
18%
5.47
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.2pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nimes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 31%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.24/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.12
-5% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nimes
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Villefranche
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 0-0 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR3
23.02.2024 Nimes Nimes 1-1 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
15.09.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 0-1 Nimes Nimes FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nimes
1-0
AWAY Villefranche
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nimes vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nimes nicked a narrow win over Villefranche 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Nimes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Nimes had 54% of the ball to Villefranche's 46%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nimes and 0.67 for Villefranche.

What was the final score of Nimes vs Villefranche?

Nimes 1-0 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nimes vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nimes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nimes 37%, draw 31%, Villefranche 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nimes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nimes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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