Paris 13 Atletico 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.44
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.28
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
15%
4.6
X/2
7%
6.46
X/X
19%
3.55
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.5
2/X
9%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.4pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
0.72/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.14
-46% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2024 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-3 HT 0-1 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
24.03.2023 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
21.10.2022 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-2 HT 0-2 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
0-1
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paris 13 Atletico vs Bourg en Bresse 01
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourg en Bresse 01 squeezed past Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Paris 13 Atletico at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paris 13 Atletico had 65% of the ball to Bourg en Bresse 01's 35%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paris 13 Atletico had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paris 13 Atletico and 0.00 for Bourg en Bresse 01.

What was the final score of Paris 13 Atletico vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Paris 13 Atletico 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 in the France - National League 1 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris 13 Atletico vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris 13 Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paris 13 Atletico 42%, draw 33%, Bourg en Bresse 01 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
28 Feb 2025
00:00 Valenciennes vs Versailles Analysis →
21:30 Nancy vs Boulogne Analysis →
21:30 Nimes vs Villefranche Analysis →
21:30 Rouen vs Concarneau Analysis →
21:30 Aubagne vs Dijon Analysis →
21:30 Le Mans FC vs Quevilly Analysis →